Every time I see a poll showing Harris with a modest lead, I have the same thought:

Via @stevebenen:

The electoral college tilts the playing field, and #Harris has to try to run up the score to prevent losing, even if she "wins" the popular vote by millions of people. https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/2024-race-polls-kamala-harris-donald-trump-presidential-election-rcna169333

As 2024 race enters a new stage, the polls come with an electoral college caveat

Kamala Harris' polling lead might be real, but our system makes it easier for Republicans to win the White House, even when they receive fewer votes.

^{Steve Benen (MSNBC)}