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FEMA 10/17/24 update on TC Milton / TC Helene #Helene #Milton #FEMA


Manasota Key and Grove City most certainly got a lot of surge. Also, don't park your yacht on my lawn, thanks. I know slips are expensive, but we play croquet out there. youtube.com/watch?v=QDSPD1rX8f…
#Milton #FLwx


Hurricane #Milton’s Floodwaters Are Hiding a Dirty Secret

The storm’s floodwaters may be contaminated with disease-causing #sewage, and their legacy could live on by causing #mold problems and #mosquito outbreaks

bloomberg.com/news/articles/20…


Here's what has made Hurricane Milton so fierce and unusual phys.org/news/2024-10-hurrican…

Hurricane Milton spawns destructive, deadly tornadoes before making landfall phys.org/news/2024-10-hurrican…

Hurricane Milton shreds Florida stadium roof phys.org/news/2024-10-hurrican…

Hurricane Milton tornadoes kill four in Florida amid rescue efforts phys.org/news/2024-10-hurrican…

Hurricane Milton leaves at least 16 dead as Florida cleans up phys.org/news/2024-10-hurrican…

How climate change is powering stronger hurricanes phys.org/news/2024-10-climate-…

How unusual has this hurricane season been? bbc.com/news/articles/cden551l…

Experts warn 'crazy busy' Atlantic hurricane season is far from over phys.org/news/2024-10-experts-…

Climate change fueled Hurricane Milton’s rapid intensification news.mongabay.com/short-articl…

Climate change boosted Milton’s landfall strength from Category 2 to 3 arstechnica.com/science/2024/1…

#UnitedStates #USA #US #Florida #environment #weather #hurricane #tornado #Milton #climate #ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis


#HurricaneBeryl formed off the #Yucatan peninsula.

So did #Helene.

And now #Milton.

Hurricanes that form in the Gulf give very little warning. And this time of year, warm Gulf water causes them to *explode* in size in just HOURS.

This is a warning from your planet:

"We will continue lobbing hurricanes at your Red States until they start taking #GlobalWarming seriously." 😐


#milton #helene

"If you are a weatherperson, you’re a target. The same goes for journalists, election workers, scientists, doctors, and first responders. These jobs are different, but the thing they share is that they all must attend to and describe the world as it is. This makes them dangerous to people who cannot abide by the agonizing constraints of reality

Charlie Warzel on the flood of hurricane-related bullshit

Unpaywalled: archive.is/PhRvu saturation.social/@clive/11328…


"If you are a weatherperson, you’re a target. The same goes for journalists, election workers, scientists, doctors, and first responders. These jobs are different, but the thing they share is that they all must attend to and describe the world as it is. This makes them dangerous to people who cannot abide by the agonizing constraints of reality"

Charlie Warzel on the flood of hurricane-related bullshit

theatlantic.com/technology/arc…

Unpaywalled: archive.is/PhRvu



This tree used to be straight (green line) and now it leans toward our house and even wrinkles the turf (red circle) due to the shift. The crown of that tree is nestled in the branches above the grill, and, somehow the fence is leaning the opposite way (pink line).

#HurricaneMilton
#Florida
#Milton
#ClimateChange


We came back home today! Of all the places we crossed (Sarasota, Bradenton) on our way to St. Petersburg, St. Petersburg looked the worst. Caveat - the interstate is better maintained than the surface roads.

For reference we live about 12 city blocks from Tropicana Park that many of you have seen on the news and about 20 city blocks from that fallen crane if you saw that too.

Here are some pictures from our yard.

#Milton
#Florida
#ClimateEmergency
#ClimateChange
#HurricaneMilton
#Hurricane


The Tampa Bay Times is running an article now on how to evacuate if you are still here. One of the ways being touted by the DeSantis administration is by Uber - Uber rides are free!

I have major problems with this approach, Who drives Uber? People with no health benefits from Uber drive for Uber, people who are underpaid drive for Uber, people who use their own cars drive for Uber. But doing this, the state need not give them shelter or provide benefits, but the "service" requires Uber drivers to be present. Doesn't that defeat the purpose of an evacuation? Keeping people in town so they can drive others out? And am I the only one who sees this is as stupid?

#milton
#HurricaneMilton
#Florida
#StPetersburg
#Tampa
#ClimateEmergency


It was nice to see, at 10 pm, that the mortal were continuing their shift southward. This 0Z 9 Oct 2024 run put Tampa Bay in the clear, with all models putting us on the better side of the eye with little threat if a huge surge isolating Pinellas county for days or weeks. Normally, given this news we would just stay and ride the storm out.

However, prior to the sustained southward shift in model guidance, we told my parents in Naples that they could probably stay put. They live 15 miles from the coast in a neighborhood with no big trees and buried power lines. They would be safe if the storm landed in or just a little south of Tampa Bay. When we saw this 0z run at 10pm, though, we felt they may be better off going to Miami or coming here to St. Petersburg.

The only problem was that we had told them we were coming late tonight and, at this point, they were asleep and our calls weren't waking them. In the morning they would still have time to go to Miami, but the traffic would be bad and they are getting go there in years. So after the 11pm official forecast came out and confirmed the models rune's southward shift, we left anyway.

We are here in Naples now, and that may ultimately be worse than St. Petersburg. But my parents have us, and our kids have their grandparents, and that all counts for something.

#ClimateDisaster
#HurricaneMilton
#Milton
#Florida


Friend sent me this from that other site. I dedicate it to Anna Paulina Luna, the congresswoman who represents the district here in St. Petersburg that just flooded and whose residents are frantically cleaning up after Helene as Milton approaches.

#Milton
#HurricaneMilton
#ClimateEmergency


Leaving was bittersweet. There is something that happens during the approach and aftermath of a hurricane that we want our children to see. It is cliché, but the community comes together.

Last night, in a super market to get items for nervous snacking, small groups of people gathered in all parts of the storm to chat, to give people advice, to share lived experience. The cashier was curious about everyone's plans and wished everyone safety through the storm. As I left, a man asked me how bad it was in there. When I told time that there was evidence that people were snacking due to Milton, he laughed and sad, "That's what I'm here for!"

At home today, while prepping the house, we had more conversations with neighbors than we have had cumulatively over the last 6 months probably.

Why does it take an imminent disaster to bring us together like that? After the storm, there is always an outpouring of support, checking in on one another. We want our kids to know how to build community like this for their climate-altered reality, the only future they are going to have.

#Milton
#Hurricane
#ClimateEmergency


OK, the forecast jumped back north overnight and into this morning. We are probably at the limits of precision for the track now, and we are certain that this will not hit Naples directly nor will it hit north of St. Petersburg. We are the red dot; we will have tropical storm force winds and that is about it.

But, it is a good thing we evacuated to here. My parents had told us they put up their shutters, but they only did one side of their house. I did two other sides this morning, and the fourth side (front) is all impact resistant windows.

There is a community aspect to this too. Hearing me put up hurricane shutters caused their neighbor to do the same. Putting up shutters is contagious!

#Milton
#HurricaneMilton
#ClimateEmergency


Shhhh. Don't tell anyone. The last aircraft in the eye recorded sustained winds over 200 mph on #Milton.


Looks like it's time for another hurricane thread. Today we woke up to hurricane models realizing a storm they had been realizing when Helene hit us last week, but then in the beginning of this week the storm gradually disappeared from dynamic models. So, we weren't really paying attention anymore as it seemed to be becoming a rain maker but not a wind and surge event.

Now we are paying attention. The trend reversed and all of the models seem to be realizing a tropical cyclone ranging from Tropical Storm strength to Category 4 hurricane. Tracks are converging on central Florida's west coast. If it realizes full strength and hits slightly north of Tampa Bay, it will be an absolute disaster. It will kill many people and collapse Florida's weak, feeble insurance market (Thanks for that, Rick Scott and Republican kleptocrats!)

#Milton
#hurricane
#HurricaneMilton
#ClimateChange
#ClimateEmergency
#ClimateDisaster
#Florida


How hurricane falsehoods are dividing the Republican Party

As Donald Trump and his allies spread false claims about Hurricanes Helene and Milton,
the Republican Party has split into two camps:
🔸those who try to dispel the falsehoods,
♦️and those who are doubling down on them.


#Helene made landfall Sept. 26, tearing through parts of Florida and Georgia before devastating much of western North Carolina,
ultimately causing more than 230 deaths.

#Milton made landfall Wednesday evening near Sarasota, Fla., bringing powerful winds, tornadoes and deadly floodwaters.


As the country digs out, Republicans in storm-battered states appear torn between the #need to #curb #misinformation and 🔥#fear of drawing a #rebuke from Trump just weeks before the election.

Many lawmakers and officials have sought to counter these rumors 🔸without directly criticizing the former president or their party.


One of the most prevalent falsehoods spread by Trump is the claim that the Federal Emergency Management Agency, or FEMA, has used some disaster-relief funds to help migrants.

Though the emergency agency and migrant-relief programs are both part of the Department of Homeland Security, ⭐️their funds are in separate accounts,
and money earmarked for aid to migrants can’t be transferred to cover hurricane costs.

washingtonpost.com/politics/20…


Around 2.7M people in Florida without power, down from 3.5M earlier. #Milton #hurricane #FLwx


#Sarasota is the landfall.

#Milton Eye wall JUST crossed radar over Sarasota, some 5min ago.


All the news is rightly focused on #Milton but the historic rains in the deserts of Morroco deserve time! Incredible moments of historic #climatechange induced weather all over the world!
#morroco #climateEmergency #endFossilFuels
apnews.com/article/sahara-floo…


“#ClimateChange is this overflowing bathroom, and #DeSantis is coming in with towels. He’s putting on more and more towels without turning off the faucet.”
theguardian.com/us-news/2024/o…

DeSantis supports "policies to boost fossil fuels, suppress carbon-free energy and ignore global heating." When asked about these policies, his office said: “You & your publication are despicable for running nonsense stories like this the day a major hurricane is making landfall in #Florida.”

#Climate #Milton


I will be discussing the role that #ClimateChange is playing in amping up the intensity, damage and danger associated with major landfalling Hurricanes like #Helene & #Milton. TONIGHT on @msnbc's @thereidout with guest host @drjasonjohnson, at ~7:00pm ET: msnbc.com/reidout


IMHO this is the mess at X/what was Twitter coming home to roost finally.

Rolling Stone: Meteorologists Get Death Threats as Hurricane Milton Conspiracy Theories Thrive

"“There’s so much bad information floating around out there that the good information has become obscured.”

Cappucci says that he’s noticed an enormous change on social media in the last three months: “Seemingly overnight, ideas that once would have been ridiculed as very fringe, outlandish viewpoints are suddenly becoming mainstream and it’s making my job much more difficult.” "

rollingstone.com/culture/cultu…

#disinformation #Milton #hurricanes #birdsite


Via John Morales / NBC6
4:23 PM · Oct 8, 2024

"I’ve Been a Meteorologist for 40 Years. Here’s Why I Got Emotional About Hurricane Milton."

#Milton #ClimateActionNow

motherjones.com/environment/20…


Via John Morales / NBC6
12:20 PM · Oct 7, 2024

"I debated whether to share this. I did apologize on the air. But I invite you to read my introspection on Bulletin Atomic of how extreme weather driven by global warming has changed me. Frankly, YOU should be shaken too, and demand #ClimateActionNow."

#Milton #FLwx

nbcmiami.com/on-air/as-seen-on…


Here is a panel* of four live stream beach cams in the #Milton zone:
*It's now just rotating between different cams.

#WeatherCam #FLwx

youtube.com/live/6K7KXT0FP6Q


Extreme Wind Warning in place for #Tampa and #SaintPetersburg as #Milton comes ashore. This warning is only used when a major #hurricane is making landfall. Treat this like a tornado warning and head to the most interior room, away from windows. Stay sheltered. #wx


I know a lot of us laugh at #musk and we laugh at how he wasted so much of his money just to tank #twitter. But as #milton makes landfall and this becomes the crisis it likely will be, let’s also make certain to remember that he took a site that evolved into a crucial tool for #disaster response and destroyed it. When I say he has blood on his hands it’s not just about blood emeralds. Twitter could have likely helped save lives here if it still was what it had been before he got his hands on it.


897 mb…. Wow. Not everyday you see that 🤢 #Milton


CENTRAL PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF MILTON HAS FALLEN TO A NEAR RECORD LOW.

MILTON POSES AN EXTREMELY SERIOUS THREAT TO FLORIDA AND RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO FOLLOW THE ORDERS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS.

As of 7:00 PM CDT Mon Oct 7 the center of Milton was located near 21.9, -90.4 with movement E at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 897 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 180 mph.

Track: nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_…
Advisory 11A: nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAT…

#Milton


Hurricane Milton poses a major threat to Tampa and other parts of Florida. This could be comparable to Katrina, with over a million people needing to evacuate tomorrow (Tuesday). There are >3 million people in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater metropolitan area area alone.

Below are some figures from NOAA - more information is at their site:
nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_…

#milton #hurricane #flordia #georgia #Tampa #Atlanta #flood #emergency


Atlanta - Milton evacuees could be visiting us soon. The state has opened evacuation centers in Forsyth, Warner Robins, Macon, and Jackson. They are also being directed to the campgrounds at the Atlanta Motor Speedway.

gema.georgia.gov/hurricane-mil…

#Atlanta #emergency #Milton #Georgia #evacuation #florida


Milton is currently tracking a bit south of previous estimates, which means
* more intense rain for Tampa to Orlando
* less storm surge for Tampa, greater surge for Cape Coral

Again, only if the current forecast holds. Milton can "wobble" north so that the eye passes over or north of Tampa Bay.

#Milton #hurricanes #flwx #extremeweather #climate #fossilfuels


Wow. The fossil-fueled Monster Hurricane Milton is a Cat 5 Hurricane again, bigger and badder than before. Central pressure in the eye of Milton has fallen to an estimated 905 mb with maximum sustained winds of 165 mph.
#Milton #flwx #climate #fossilfuels


If you have folks you know who plan to "hunker down and ride it out" in the Tampa area, show them the list of locations closing for Waffle House. #WaffleHouseIndex #WHIndex #FLwx #Milton #HurricaneMilton #hurricane


If you are in the storm path, PLEASE PUT YOUR LITHIUM ION BATTERIES IN A WATER PROOF CONTAINER or better yet take them with you.

Many many house fires have started from wet batteries exploding. Fires will destroy your home and hinder emergency support.

My heart goes out to y'all in the storm. Get out if you can.

#Milton


President #Biden postpones his overseas trip this week and will oversee hurricane preparations as #Milton barrels toward #Florida, White House says - CNN


Vice President #Harris, responding to NBC News reporting that Ron #DeSantis is ignoring her calls ahead of Hurricane #Milton:

"Moments of crisis, if nothing else, should really be the moment that anyone who calls themselves a leader says they're going to put politics aside and put the people first. People are in desperate need of support right now and playing political games with this moment, in these crisis situations … it's just utterly irresponsible and it is selfish."


boy does the New York Times work hard to not say "fossil fuels" these days.

Watch out for those "human-caused forces that have been bringing abnormal heat"!

lol.
#milton #climatesilence #climatechange #fossilfuels
nytimes.com/interactive/2024/1…